The other day, about 26 Opposition parties joined hands and formed an alliance named INDIA. The Opposition parties have resolved to defeat the NDA in 2024.
If the 2019 vote share of NDA and the rest of the parties is anything to go by, it is nearly impossible to defeat the BJP-dominated ruling coalition. The ruling coalition secured a 45% vote share last year. "Even if NDA as a whole loses 7% national vote share and BJP 4-5%, which is huge, BJP may still end up with 240+ and NDA 260+," says Aditya Jakki, a political enthusiast.
Many agree with this take. NDA, in the worst-case scenario, will lose seats in West Bengal, Maharashtra, Bihar, Punjab, Karnataka, and Delhi. It might lose a couple of seats in Delhi. Despite the probable setbacks in seven States and even if the Congress party gains numbers in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chattisgarh, NDA's tally might not go down below 260.
The BJP is as strong as ever in Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat.
In the best-case scenario, NDA will win as many seats as it won last time. Setbacks are becoming unlikely with each passing week. JDS and a few other regional outfits are favouring Narendra Modi.
